Cuba beware
·
Tuesday,
13 January 2015
·
Daily Tribune
The news last month that the remaining three of the imprisoned
Cuban Five had been released from their unjust incarceration in the USA was
understandably welcomed by people around the world. Also welcome was Obama’s
decision to re-establish diplomatic relations with the small Caribbean
socialist republic.
While
Obama is able to unwind some of the blockade measures which have been in place
for half a century, however, it will fall to the US Congress to dismantle the
whole disgraceful apparatus, as it is embedded in legislation.
It
would almost certainly be a mistake, though, to interpret this development as
marking a fundamental shift in Washington’s
strategic designs. This is readily demonstrated by looking first at the global
context in which the USA’s
new Cuba
policy was announced, then taking a closer look at Obama’s public announcement
of said policy.
A
few days earlier, Obama approved a bill imposing sanctions against Venezuela on
the hypocritical basis (for a country which tortures its perceived foes and
where police kill unarmed civilians with impunity) that the government of
Nicolas Maduro had condoned human rights violations when it responded to
anti-government protests earlier last year. Washington’s
new measures triggered mass demonstrations in Caracas,
while other Latin American nations rallied to Venezuela’s defense.
Bolivian
president Evo Morales charged that Washington,
having failed politically in its campaign against Maduro and his late
predecessor Hugo Chaves, was now waging “economic aggression” against Venezuela.
Shortly after announcing the new policy on Cuba, Obama issued an executive order banning
exports to Crimea and imposing further
sanctions against Russian and Ukrainian companies and individuals (the European
Union had agreed similar measures a few days earlier). It is probably safe to
assume that the Ukraine’s largest private gas producer, which last year
appointed US Vice-President Joe Biden’s son to its board of directors, will not
be affected.
Let’s
just remind ourselves, stating the matter bluntly, just how the situation in Ukraine came
about. In late 2013, Ukraine’s
president’s Viktor Yanukovych had second thoughts about signing an agreement
with the European Union (EU), calculating that this would involve forsaking the
undoubted economic benefits of Ukraine’s
association with Russia.
The EU was upset, and doubtless encouraged the demonstrators who soon began to
assemble in Kiev.
This would lead to the toppling of Yanukovych in February 2014.
Quite apart from EU involvement, it is now clear that the
demonstrators in Kiev (who, it should not be
forgotten, were extremely violent) were funded by the USA. Such was
acknowledged by Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Newland, who stated in a
speech in Washington in December 2013 that Washington had provided
$5 billion. More recently, George Friedman, founder and CEO of “intelligence”
company Stratfor, has said that the USA was behind the coup against Yanukovych,
as it was concerned about Russia’s growing influence in the Middle East, and in
particular by its pro-Assad position on Syria.
The
anti-Yanokovych forces contained neo-fascists, and these now made their way
into government. It was in these circumstances that the population in Crimea
voted overwhelmingly to rejoin Russia
(it had been transferred to Ukraine
in 1954 by Khrushchev). At the same time, people in the eastern Ukraine were equally concerned by the
re-emergence of neo-Nazi elements in Kiev and
began to agitate for separation (although not, as repeatedly reported in the
West, necessarily union with Russia).
It
should never be forgotten that the former Soviet Union lost almost 30 million
people in World War II; this indelible memory has informed the actions of
people in Crimea and eastern Ukraine and has also conditioned Russia’s own
position, as it has watched Nato forces, despite agreements to the contrary,
move ever-closer to its borders.
We
now have a situation, therefore, where Washington and the EU, having interfered
in a sovereign nation and caused the overthrow of an elected president (good or
bad, honest or corrupt — none of this was their business), now impose sanctions
on Russia and Crimea for taking measured and moderate steps to
safeguard their interests.
Rightly
or wrongly, many suspect that the hand of Washington is behind the recent steep fall
in oil-prices which, along with sanctions, is having a major depressant effect
on the Russian economy. The fact that Venezuela, another oil-producer, is
similarly affected has done nothing to dispel such suspicions.
So,
coming as it did in a period when Washington was following up its previous
regime-change adventures in Venezuela, Ukraine and now Russia (to say nothing
of Libya and Syria), and braying about the right of Hollywood “comedians” to
conduct international diplomacy, what must we look out for in the USA’s new
tack toward Cuba?
There
was, in Obama’s speech, no hint of neighborliness toward Cuba’s regime,
no note of apology for past crimes committed in the name of “demarkracy.”
Alan
Gross, the American released from a Cuban jail on humanitarian grounds, was
portrayed as an innocent hero, and warmly welcomed home. Gross had been
employed by a contractor of US Aid for International Development (USaid) which
had been awarded a $6 million government contract for “democracy-promotion” in Cuba, for which
Gross himself received over $500,000.
The
Cuban Five, on the other hand, were merely referred to as “agents.” Not a word
about the fact that they had penetrated terrorist groups run by Cuban exiles in
Florida, or that their evidence had been
handed to the FBI at a meeting in Havana.
The
all-important question: why? Why now? Was it because Washington had undergone a Damascene
conversion and would no longer interfere in the internal affairs of other
nations? No, we have seen above that this is certainly not true. Obama himself
stated quite flatly that the previous policy of isolation and embargo had
simply not worked and thus needed to be discarded.
But
what had been the aim of the previous policy? Regime change, and that has not
altered, as evidenced by the recent revelation that USaid, the same outfit for
which Gross was working, had infiltrated Cuba’s hip-hop fraternity with the
notion of recruiting dissidents, leading to a youth revolt.
Thus,
the new policy will be directed at achieving that aim by alternative means.
Although, if the embargo is lifted, there will be economic opportunities for Cuba, it is
perhaps no exaggeration to say that it is entering its most dangerous period
yet. Cuba
beware!